- Bollinger Bands (volatility envelope around price) are built from a 20-period SMA with 2σ bands.
- Squeeze = low volatility, often before a larger move.
- Expansion = trending market — the prevailing direction tends to continue.
- Band walk = strong, persistent trend — fading it is rarely profitable.
Bollinger Bands are a volatility-aware moving average overlay used to gauge whether price is stretched relative to its recent range. In practice, they work best as a context tool — telling you what kind of market you’re in — rather than a standalone signal.
How the bands are constructed
Standard settings use a 20-period simple moving average (SMA) plus and minus two standard deviations (2σ) of the same series. That means:
- The middle line is the 20-period mean.
- The outer bands expand and contract with volatility.
- Roughly 95% of price action statistically falls inside the bands.
Reading the three primary states
Unlike fixed-width overlays, the bands change shape based on what the market is doing.
- Squeeze — bands narrow as volatility falls. Traders often watch a squeeze as the setup phase before a breakout, though the squeeze itself says nothing about direction.
- Expansion — bands widen during trending moves. The prevailing direction tends to persist while expansion holds.
- Band walk — price hugs the outer band repeatedly. Strong trends ride the upper or lower band, and counter-trend trades against a band walk frequently get stopped out.
Practical use cases
Bollinger Bands answer two questions well:
- Is volatility expanding or contracting right now?
- Is price stretched relative to its 20-period mean?
Combine the bands with a separate trend filter (such as a 200 EMA) or a momentum indicator before acting on extremes. Touching the outer band alone is not a reversal signal.
Risks to flag
Bollinger Bands lag price by definition — they’re built from a moving average. They will not catch turning points perfectly, and in low-volatility ranges the bands themselves can give false breakout signals. Risk-size every trade independently of indicator readings.
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